Trevor Lawrence had his first turnover-free game, and James Robinson is starting to find a groove. If you’re hesitant to play the upset, Tennessee and Jacksonville have hit the under-on-point totals in each of the past three weeks. We weren’t entirely sure how Carolina would look without Christian McCaffrey and Jaycee Horn in the lineup.
Early betting action then dropped that line two points, to -3, and dipped that total to 42.5. The Browns opened as five-point favorites for this game, but that line’s dropped through the week with even more bad injury news. Here’s our homework on this one, with our free NFL Week 7 pick. In their fist half of KC’s win over the Washington Football Team, it appeared as if the Chiefs were going to lose yet another game.
Indianapolis @ Green Bay
Their win over Denver in Week 6 was a good statement as they surpassed 400 yards of offense for the fourth time this season and also registered four takeaways on the road. Derek Carr was on an insane pace through the first three games of this year before coming back down to earth, however, Week 6 proved to be one of the more efficient outings of his campaign so far. A big issue for the 4-2 Raiders is their inability to run the ball, eclipsing 100 yards just once and over 80 yards just thrice. They paid Kenyan Drake this offseason to complement Josh Jacobs and they just can’t get the tandem going. It’s no surprise that the Panthers are a totally different team without Christian McCaffrey ; they’re 0-3 since the star running back got injured. Sam Darnold has suffered mightily in his absence, throwing for just 685 yards with four touchdowns to six interceptions in those three games.
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All-Pro right tackle Jack Conklin leads an impressive Tennessee offensive line that cleared the way for 136.7 rushing yards per game last year. The Broncos resource were winners over their AFC West rival, the Los Angeles Chargers, last Monday night. Denver jumped out to a 24-7 lead and blocked a Chargers field goal with one second left to play to preserve a victory.
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The victory also likely locked up a ninth straight AFC East crown. Tampa Bay doesn’t want a repeat of the earlier game with Atlanta. Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan completed 26-of-35 passes for 317 yards and a touchdown, but it was WR Julio Jones who the Bucs could not stop.
The Falcons are quietly back in the playoff picture in the NFC after wins in two of their last three matchups before their bye week. A matchup against the currently 3-3 Panthers looms in Week 7 as an important one between the two NFC South teams. Rookie tight end Kyle Pitts broke out with nine catches for 119 yards and a touchdown in London.
Nfl Week 7 Best Bets, Odds And Trends: Cardinals, Bucs, Rams Are Heavy Favorites
The Bengals’ moneyline of +215 implies a win probability of 31%. We can tell you it’s leaning Under the point total, andit also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any Eagles vs. Raiders or NFL picks of your own. The total fell as fans looked at the radar and was arguably a safer bet than Alvin Kamara to score a touchdown.
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Not as much teaser and moneyline play on the Chiefs as we’ve seen in recent road favorite spots. I actually took a big moneyline bet on the Titans to spring the upset. NFL prop bets focus on a specific event within an NFL game, but don’t necessarily relate to the result.
With Jimmy Graham on the COVID list, Cole Kmet is worth a GPP dart throw against a Bucs defense that is ranked 19th in DVOA versus TEs. The Bucs play zone at the sixth-highest rate, and 68% of Kmets targets this season have come against zone coverage. These are two middling teams, so the market is likely overrating the Raiders’ home-field advantage here, especially with the Eagles on long rest after the Thursday night game. He’s not an option in anything other than showdown slates, especially with Jalen Richard back as the third man in the committee. Jets defensive coordinator Robert Saleh’s unit is ranked 23rd in DVOA against the pass and 28th against No. 1 WRs, so this is a nice spot to fire up Jakobi Meyers in cash games on DraftKings at $5,300. Meyers is averaging 6.0 catches for 57.7 yards on 8.7 targets per game and has at least four catches in every contest.